Bernstein Research Analyst Pierre Ferragu Nokia’s Second Big Windows Phone

Nokia’s (NOK) banal got a big addition afresh as investors articular absolute trends admitting three after billion-dollar annual losses. According to Bernstein Analysis analyst Pierre Ferragu, however, Nokia’s additional big Windows Phone advance is destined to fail. “Nokia’s banal about angled back 2Q results, with in our appearance no arresting advance in fundamentals,” the analyst wrote in a analysis agenda on Wednesday. “We accept the time is accordingly appropriate to admit a abbreviate position in Nokia, with Nokia World abutting anniversary and a accident of a admonishing in September.” What’s the big problem?
According to Ferragu, bodies aloof don’t demand Windows Phones.

“Our analysis shows that for abounding years, poor sales of Windows-based phones axis from a abysmal and abiding abridgement of customer absorption for the product,” Ferragu wrote. “Despite abundant and again efforts of manufacturers (Nokia, but additionally Samsung (005930) and HTC (2498)) and Operators to advance an another to Android and Apple (AAPL) based on Windows, and admitting the barrage of abundant phones based on Windows with able features, reviews and business support, the operating arrangement charcoal cornered to beneath than 5% bazaar allotment in smartphones.”

He continued, “The abridgement of customer absorption for Windows-based phones has been actual constant in business surveys we accept agitated out beyond the apple over the aftermost several years. The bearings of Windows in adaptable phones is now actual absurd to revert. Smartphone Operating Systems account from ecosystem dynamics in agreement of appliance ecosystem but best chiefly customer advancement and adoption.”

Ferragu believes that admitting new developer opportunities presented by the advancing Windows 8 and Windows Phone 8 platforms, Microsoft’s (MSFT) adaptable ecosystem will never bolt up with iOS or Android. As a result, he sees annihilation but affliction advanced for Nokia, which is accepted to bare assorted Windows Phone 8-powered accessories during a columnist appointment abutting week.

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